AI Completes Longer Tasks Over Time

AI's ability to handle long tasks is doubling every 7 months, showing incredibly fast improvement.

ForecastingAgentScaling

Key Takeaways

Researchers found a new way to measure how much better AI is getting by looking at the length of tasks it can complete on its own. They learned that the longer a task takes a person, the harder it is for the AI. The most interesting finding is that AIs are improving very fast. For the last six years, the length of a task an AI can successfully finish has been doubling about every 7 months. If this trend keeps up, AIs could soon be doing big projects that take people days or weeks to finish.